shootmans · matchmaking experiment

A 1v1 hitscan duel that exists to answer one question: do skill ratings predict who wins? Every match is paired by the matchmaker, gets a predicted win chance before a shot is fired, and is scored against the result. If the prediction beats a coin flip, the ratings are measuring something real.

The experiment

Rated games0

Favourite won—

Brier score (lower is better, coin flip = 0.250)—

Queue / servers idle—

Matcher · rater—

Waiting for games.

Predicted favourite chance	Games	Predicted	Actual

Live now

Leaderboard

#	Player	Rating	±	W–L

Recent results — click a row

When	Match	Score	Predicted winner chance	Call	Rating change